When a country makes an official map of its
territories, it isn’t just a map – it’s a political statement. Nations claim particular
spaces as their own with maps; whether other nations respect those claims is
another matter. So it is that the same set of islands in the South Atlantic Ocean appear as the Falkland Islands on British maps and as the Islas Malvinas on Argentine maps (even the Wikipedia entries differ in English and Spanish, if you follow the preceding html links). In practical terms, Britain governs those islands and has done
so since the 1830s, except for a period in the 1970s when Britain and Argentina
went to war over them. But just the same, each country’s maps tell the
world a different tale.
Generations of official maps produced by the
government of Canada have made territorial claims that haven’t always been
recognized by other nations. For example, for decades now Canada’s official
cartographers have extended the Alaska-Yukon boundary in a dashed straight line
to the North Pole, and then brought it back down the 60th meridian
until it reaches the Lincoln Sea; from there a line is drawn through the ocean
equidistant between Greenland and Ellesmere and Baffin Islands (Fig. 1). The
islands, sea ice, and ocean contained inside this roughly triangular area is
represented by our government as being within Canadian territorial boundaries. Other
countries have not always recognized the legitimacy of this claim.
Fig. 1: Dashed lines across the Arctic
For example, in 1985 a US Coast Guard
icebreaker sailed across that region without first asking permission as would
normally be done when entering another nation’s territorial waters. After much
squawking by the Canadian government, Canada and the US eventually made nice
with a 1988 bilateral agreement that the US would in future ask permission
before sailing through the region - but it did not officially recognize the
Canadian territorial claim in the Arctic. Also beginning in the 1980s, Canada
and Denmark began disputing the sovereignty of Hans Island, an uninhabited
speck of land in the channel between Greenland and Ellesmere Island. Before
then, neither country had given much thought to Hans Island until a Canadian
company began exploring for oil around it. (These and other territorial disputes
between Canada and its Arctic neighhbours will hopefully be resolved through
the United Nations Commission on the Limits of the Continental Shelf.)
Which brings me back to my point that the
making of an official map is an inherently political statement. Canada draws these
lines across the Arctic on its official maps precisely because it wants to
convey to Canadians and to the world at large that it claims that particular
space on the planet and intends to enforce jurisdiction over it. You will find
Hans Island explicitly labeled on official maps of Canada since the 1980s (Fig. 2), even
though dozens of much larger Arctic islands go unlabelled. Do not think
this is coincidental. It’s a political
statement, made via a map.
Fig. 2: Hans Island is ours! (look hard, you'll find it!)
Now on to a story that appeared in the media this week. The government of Canada has released a new official map to
replace the last one, which was published in 2006. Some sharp-eyed observers
noticed something peculiar about how the Arctic Ocean is portrayed on the new
map. Both the 2006 and 2015 maps have a representation of the permanent sea ice
in the Arctic Ocean, but curiously, the spatial extent of sea ice is much
larger on the 2015 map than on the 2006 (you can compare them here). Is this an error? It is true that the
spatial extent of Arctic sea ice fluctuates from one year to the next, so it is
reasonable to assume that the sea ice boundary lines would differ between the
two maps. The problem is that Arctic sea ice is declining, not
growing. Why does the new map show the opposite?
It seems that Natural Resources Canada –
the Canadian government department responsible for producing the official map –
has changed its definition of what constitutes permanent Arctic sea ice for
official maps. The 2006 map simply represented the extent of permanent Arctic sea ice as
it actually was at the time the map was produced. The 2015 map uses a thirty year
average of the spatial extent of sea ice as measured in the month of September,
from 1981-2010 (Fig. 3, Fig. 4 below). Sea ice shrank over that thirty-year
period, so the measure selected for the map shows a spatial area much larger
than would be encountered today. And, since 2006 falls near the end of the
selected thirty-year period, it would indeed show a smaller spatial extent than
appears on the current map. In technical terms, the current map is correct, as was the 2006 map.
But this new map is supposed to be current.
Why would anyone choose to represent outdated historical data on a supposedly
current map? Why draw sea ice where one is currently unlikely to encounter any? More precisely, why would Natural Resources Canada
change its interpretation of Arctic sea ice extent from one version of a map to
the next without explanation, without any technical reason to do so, and thereby create a less reliable
representation of current reality? How very bizarre. After all, one of the reasons for updating a map in the first place is to update the data it depicts - not backdate it.
Now, I recognize that the official map of
Canada is not a navigational chart. No mariner will ever be in danger of
drowning at sea because sea ice is not typically found where this map claims it
would be. But that's my point: the purpose of an official map is deliberately and
inherently political, not navigational. Given that the 2006 map’s
representation of sea ice was already technically accurate and therefore
required no methodological correction, the question becomes, for what political
reason has the official map changed? In the absence of any credible explanation from the Minister of Natural Resources for the switch (and I haven't seen one yet*), I will assume it is what it is: a picture of Canada the
government would like to have the world believe, and not necessarily what
actually exists.
Fig. 3: Data used in 2015 map makes sea ice extent appear greater than it has been in past decade
Fig. 4 You have to read the fine print...
Fig. 4 You have to read the fine print...
*Update: A Canadian Ice Service spokesperson is quoted in this article as say that showing permanent sea ice as in the 2006 map is a poor choice, since it represents a "minimum of minimums", and the new method allows for more valid comparisons over time. This makes no sense unless the government is planning on making annual updates to the official map using a moving 30-year average. And, if that is the plan why start with a 30-year average that ends in 2010 for a 2015 map?It seems to me that if you're not making frequent updates to a map, you display permanent features (i.e. permanent ice cover), not ephemeral ones.
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